Shawn's Stuff

My life with the occasional political or sports talk.

Wednesday, August 30, 2006

12 Angry...er...Oilers



I'll just say this is for me to counter-act the "Hot Oil" blog :)

Reading Lowetide's blog recently he was comparing the Oilers forward group for this year to the group during the 1984-85 season.

Obviously there's no one on this team in the league of Gretzky, Kuri or Messier. They're all first ballot hall of famers and among the most elite scorers of all time.

However, when it comes to pure scoring depth, I'm not sure if we've had forwards this good since Gretzky left town. I don't think the team has ever had this much depth at forward. Frankly, I don't think any team in the NHL has this much depth at forward.

There are teams who can certainly argue their top 6 are better, but top 12? I don't think so.

Smyth Horcoff Hemsky
Lupul Stoll Sykora
Torres Reasoner Pisani
Moreau Schremp/Pouliot/Mihknov/Jacques/Thoreson/Winchester?

Who can compete with the scoring depth this team will have?

The Senators are a team I may have mentioned, but now Havlat is gone and they have...

Heatley Spezza Alfresson
Schaefer Kaygorodov Eaves
Vermette Fisher Neil
McAmmond Kelly McGratton

An impressive group with a lot of skill, but not near the proven scoring depth we have.

Other teams with good scoring depth? The Flyers, Hurricanes, Sabres (though they took a hit losing Dumont) and I don't know who else I'd point to frankly. The Habs are pretty good as well.

Most other top tier teams have a very good top 6, but can they touch our third and fourth line scoring?

Some may point out that the fourth line I'm talking about depends a lot (potentially) on rookies.

Well, it doesn't have to necessarily. You can move Reasoner down to the 4th line with Moreau and a rookie. Then put either Pouliot or Schremp in between Torries and Pisani.

The other thing is that even if say one or two of the rookies doesn't play well - I think it's a big stretch to think that NONE of the 4 or 5 guys who could win spots in the lineup will work out. They all have a pretty good scoring history elsewhere, and it's hard to imagine none of them will contribute this season.

Perhaps I have my homer glasses on, but I'd say when it comes to 4 complete lines who can score - there's no team that can touch us. Hey, when you look at who made the final four in the NHL this year, scoring depth had a lot to do with it. I think it's a great way to go, and I'm looking forward to a fun year.

Softwood Harper



Read this

Now I guess we find out September 1rst how this money will be spent, but it's quite a revelation.

Do I think this money is about to be turned into political advertising or anything? No, I don't. However, the fact that we are giving nearly 500 million dollars of our lumber producers' money to the White House to spend on whatever they want... it's damn near criminal.

Their collection of the 5 billion dollars was illegal. We're only getting back 4, and on top of that now we find out half of what we aren't getting back is in the hands of Bush and company to use for political points.

Here are some more mainstream outlets reporting on the deal for background.

http://news.google.ca/news?hl=en&ned=&ie=UTF-8&ncl=http://www.cbc.ca/cp/business/060828/b082834.html

The price of political points for the Conservatives, eh?

Monday, August 28, 2006

Down the Stretch...



I know not many people are all that interested in the Federal Liberal leadership election.

However, I thought Gerard Kennedy's latest stance was an interesting one to take. I'm curious what those with a foreign policy background think of what he's saying. I know Gerard himself doesn't have an extensive foreign policy background. Especially given his entire political career has been within provincial politics. It's one area that Michael Ignatieff and Stephane Dion definately have a leg up in experience - especially Ignatieff. However, experience does not necessarily equal good decisions.

So what do you think? Are we taking the wrong approach in Afghanistan right now? It sure does seem like it's just developping into a mission with no end in site. I certainly see the great value of our role in Afghanistan, but perhaps we need to change the way we're trying to protect the government from the Taliban. Attacking the economic means of the locals sure doesn't seem like the wisest way to do it.

I think the leadership race is actually very interesting for a student of political science. It's especially interesting to me as a long time Liberal. Yeah, don't tell anyone, I do work in the media. So shhh! Personally I'm backing Kennedy in what little way I can. I've had some talks with his organizers, but really there didn't seem to be a way I could realistically contribute much from here in Owen Sound. So when it comes time for me to vote on delegates, I'll try to push for one who backs Kennedy.

However, I find it dissapointing how some Liberal bloggers have turned a leadership race into the kind of war of words you'd expect from a federal election. I know it's important to get the right leader, but there's still too much mean spirited stuff out there. I've got to say, I can find reasons to get behind all four guys at the front of the leadership pack.

Who is that pack? Seems quite clear it's Ignatieff, Dion, Kennedy and Rae.



Want to know more about Ignatieff? There's a very in depth article on his personal history right here from the Globe. How much stock you take in a man's personal past is certainly up to you. Still, I find the man intelligent and thought provoking so it was very interesting to read about his past. Reading his history it makes me think that perhaps he's been a bit too calculated in some of his big decisions. Paul Martin tried to be very calculated when forming his public positions as well. I sense a bit too much of that "all things to all people" attitude in Ignatieff when I hear about caculated shifts in direction. Especially when you hear some who have followed his policy work (like my friend Scott) who feel a lot of those views seem to be watered down now that he's in public life.

That being said, I'd be glad to support an Ignatieff led Liberal party. At least from what I've read of his policies and heard from him personally. He's a man with great experience, a tremendous depth of knowledge and a lot of ideas.



Bob Rae is a bit confusing to me here. I still have a hard time wrapping my head around the idea that the one time NDP MP and Premier is a Liberal leadership candidate. This is not me being unwilling to accept him in the party - it's more just me not really understanding the move. I havn't heard an explanation from him that I really understand yet. Regardless, I think Bob Rae has some good ideas. I like that he leans to the left of the spectrum. I'm glad he has his brother John and other key Chretien organizers by his side. To me that means he has some real value to bring to the table here. However, ultimately when I look at a candidate I also look at whether he'd be electable. The Liberals need Ontario to win - and Bob Rae's reputation in this province is miserable. People's memories _are_ short, but I don't think they're that short. I just don't think it's all that smart to elect someone with that kind of baggage in what is still really the Liberal's best hope.

That said, I think he'd be a very effective opposition leader. For example, I really like this quote from his website:

"With the Harper government's handling of the softwood lumber issue we are seeing a troubling pattern emerge: a government that would rather get serious issues "out of the way" than answer important questions and arrive at sustainable solutions that reflect our values and the best interests of Canadian communities. We have seen this on climate change, Afghanistan, the fiscal imbalance and now trade with the US. This does not show "discipline." It shows sloppiness and disrespect for our most vital Canadian interests."

Spot on and sharp commentary. I'd certainly welcome him as a big gun in the Liberal campaign. I just don't know if Ontario is attainable with Bob Rae at the helm. Just my own damn opinion.



As for one time Environment Minister Stephane Dion? I think he'd make for some pretty dry debates with Harper. However, I also think Dion is very bright. He has a detailed education, important experience in government, and some great ideas. Dion puts a lot of emphasis on the environment, and I truly feel it's one of the policy points where the Liberals could make some serious gains. Canadians do care about the environment, and the Torries clearly show very little interest in dealing with it. Critics can say the Liberals didn't get results (fairly) but the Conservatives don't even seem to want to try. New leaders and new ideas on the environment could be a tremendous spark to the party.

Dion continues to be a very strong Liberal with a lot to contribute to the party. He's a man I would gladly follow were he elected leader of the party. There are flaws, I mean his english isn't very good for someone to lead this country, but he's a worthy man.

As for my chocie - Kennedy - I can certainly point to lots of faults for him as well. Gerard's french is not quite as good as we were all hoping. He doesn't have federal experience or much background in foreign policy. He certainly doesn't have the educational pedigree of Dion or Ignatieff - but I'd argue his experience as a young man running a new foodbank in Edmonton is uniquely valuable.

Kennedy was born in Manitoba, lived and worked in Edmonton, and has been part of a government in Ontario. His view of this country is a broad one based on his variety of experience. He's a tireless worker who has all ready come out with several new, creative policy ideas for the party. He's also full of charisma - and I've talked to a lot of people who became real fans by just meeting the man once. The other nice thing about Kennedy? He's a completely fresh face. No association with Martin or Chretien. No association with the old government. He's not associated with any past governing failures... unless you feel like the McGuinty Liberals are one. The McGuinty Liberals BTW who have now balanced the budget! He had a very good run as Ontario Education Minister. Hell, the man actually brought labour peace to Ontario schools.

I'm not really offering you much depth to his ideas and character here - but what I am pointing out is some of the reasons why I think he could be a successful leader. To me for the Liberals to have a good chance to win the next election, Kennedy and Ignatieff are the best two options. Dion and Rae are a step behind as electable leaders, but again I think it's a good final four.

There's nobody among the 4 front runners who I absolutely would not support. There's no disaster waiting to happen.

I wish I'd offered a more detail policy analysis between the four leaders. However, I didn't really intend to turn this into a final four review until I was halfway through it. Perhaps as we get closer to the convention I'll talk more about their policy.

But here's my ballot...

1)Kennedy
2)Ignatieff
3)Dion
4)Rae

Incidently, I'd throw Dryden in there somewhere if he had a chance.

Pecking Order



In the style of Lowetide I start by saying... This is Theo Peckham. He's an Ontario Hockey League defenseman for the Owen Sound Attack. Peckham was also the second player picked in this year's NHL Entry Draft by the Edmonton Oilers. Peckham is a very solid, physical defenseman. I would say the best hope for Oiler fans is that he'll develop into a top 4 guy who can throw the body around and doesn't make many mistakes in his own zone. More realistically he'll be a bottom pairing defenseman or a guy right on the bubble.

This pick has seemingly provided me with a rare opportunity to follow an Edmonton Oilers prospect up close for at least a season. Here I am in Owen Sound, a member of the local media often involved with sports, and an Edmonton Oilers prospect right in my backyard.

The ideal scenario for me would've been to attend every Attack home game. What better way to do that than to be a part of the TV broadcast team on Rogers Television? Well, despite my efforts to prove my worth to them this summer as a part of their Lacrosse broadcast team, I seem to have fallen short. The new DJ at Mix (Rico) is getting the job hosting the broadcasts. It's one of those things I can't be too dissapointed about - he has previous experience in the job. Ah the old catch 22.

Actually given the circumstances I should be quite happy they've offered me a previously non-existant role as host for the Owen Sound Greys. I do the same Ron McLean like job, but for a Jr. B team instead. I am glad they kept me in mind, and am happy to be the backup for the host job. I love hockey, I love being part of sports broadcasts, I'd do it for free any day. However, it's a dissapointment. I didn't expect this all to happen for me so soon, it's just that I felt I was so close. That combined with a couple other recent work related dissapointments (darn Saturday and Sunday mornings...) have made this kind of a bummer month.

Still, shouldn't I think positively? I'm getting to be part of a television hockey broadcast. I should think about what I'm getting not what I could have had but didn't get. It's false to assume I'd have gotten the job if not for Rico. Rico is here, if not him maybe someone else, either way he is here and got the job out of merit. I certainly don't hold any negative feelings towards him. A nice guy Rico.

Stupid life - don't create expectations for me! If I had no expectations this would have been great.

Survivor Must Die

As pointed out by my friend Sarah on her blog, the new idea for this year's Survivor is amazing even for television. I put this into my news cast a few days ago even though we almost never cover entertainment. I felt it was worthy of public scorn.

Four teams divided along racial lines compete in a game of survival.

So if you stranded a team of blacks, whites, asians and spanish people on an island, which race would do a better job surviving? Are we really still at the point where asking this question could possibly be a form of entertainment?

I know reality TV kind of sinks to the lowest of the low. I expect that and I accept that. I'm the last person to give a big rant about the moral decay of modern media. Frankly, I want us to be free to do and say whatever we'd like. However, I do still maintain the right to call people on their bullshit offensive ideas. This is probably among the worst, hateful ideas for a television show I've ever heard. I'm hard pressed to think of one that would rank at the moment. Especially because it's so overt.

I don't take Survivor too seriously, but I'm still bothered by it enough to add my two cents here. I know I won't be watching it. I hope it's the lowest rated version yet. I'm sure it won't be.